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There’s No Good Reason to Raise the Inflation Target


“Why not give the central bank a wider berth, if it helps to stabilize the economy? Because it doesn’t actually help. Interest rates are a distraction.” ~Alexander W. Salter

June 24, 2024


Democrats Play the Blame Game on Rent Inflation


“Imposing new costly regulations will not make housing more affordable — unleashing the housing supply by deregulating zoning and overly strict building codes will.” ~Louis Rouanet

June 19, 2024


Have We Crested the Inflation Wave?


“My view is the Fed should pause its rate hikes in the short-run. Disintermediation might be the cause of recent money-supply trends. In the long-run, the Fed should resume forward guidance, but not on interest rates.” ~ Alexander William Salter

April 7, 2023


Inflation Slowed in February, But Remained High


“Recent experience should prompt calls for the Fed to adopt a symmetric average inflation target when it reevaluates its mandate in 2024 and 2025.” ~ William J. Luther

April 1, 2023


Money and Inflation Are Still Related


“M2 in 2020 and 2021 increased by the largest percentages in the last 60 years. To the surprise of the Federal Reserve (although not everyone), inflation resulted.” ~ John Devereux & Gerald P. Dwyer

March 26, 2023


Moral hazard is a fact of life. The Fed should focus on inflation.


“To the shame of two generations of economists-turned-policy-advisors, moral hazard is a fact of life. We don’t need to add permanent dollar depreciation to this mess.” ~ Alexander William Salter

March 23, 2023


Understanding Inflationary Finance


“Providing revenue to the state is one of the reasons (and, perhaps the primary reason) governments worldwide monopolize the issuance of high-powered money.” ~ Bryan Cutsinger

March 8, 2023


Inflation Surges in January


“How high rates will ultimately go depends on how inflation evolves over the next few months — and how quickly the Fed reacts to restore confidence in its longer term-inflation projections. The January PCEPI release marked a step in the wrong direction.” ~ William J. Luther

February 27, 2023


Supply Constraints and Inflation, Revisited


“The Fed was late to realize nominal spending was surging and failed to correct course promptly when it realized it had made a mistake. Prices are higher today—and will remain permanently higher—as a consequence.” ~ William J. Luther

February 3, 2023


Headline Inflation Falls, But Core Inflation Remains Elevated


“At this point, it seems likely Fed officials will move forward with a 25 basis point hike. But how high they will push rates this year and how long they will keep rates high remain open questions.” ~ William J. Luther

January 30, 2023


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