Steve H . Hanke

  • Currency War with China: 1934 and 2019

    Today’s currency war with China promises to deliver what currency wars always deliver: instability and uncertainty.

    Currency War with China: 1934 and 2019
  • Public infrastructure: Welcome to the world of waste, fraud, and abuse

    This article appeared in the December 2016 issue of Globe Asia Economic policy is subject to fads and fashions. The most recent economic-policy fad is public infrastructure. Its advocates include progressives on the “left” – like President Obama, Hillary Clinton, and Bernie Sanders – and populists on the “right” – like President-elect Trump. They tell us to…

    Public infrastructure: Welcome to the world of waste, fraud, and abuse
  • The twists and turns of the greenback

    This article appeared in the November 2016 issue of Globe Asia. At a monetary conference in Vienna back in 2014, the distinguished Frenchman, friend, and occasional collaborator Jacques de Larosière proclaimed that the current world monetary order should be termed an “anti-system.” He has a point – an important point. Among other things, such an anti-system…

    The twists and turns of the greenback
  • Enhance prosperity and improve health: Slash regulations, please

    This article appeared in Globe Asia. Productivity and economic growth continue to surprise on the downside in most countries. While there is a great deal of handwringing over the so-called productivity puzzle, little attention is given to the real elixir: freer markets and more competition. Indeed, the policy tide is moving in the opposite direction in…

    Enhance prosperity and improve health: Slash regulations, please
  • On the Italian and eurozone doomsday scenario

    This article appeared in the June 2016 issue of Globe Asia. On June 23rd, the voters in the United Kingdom (UK) turned a collective thumbs-down on the European Union (EU). The Brexit advocates – the ones who had had enough of the EU’s mandates and regulations – won the day. But, this is only the first…

    On the Italian and eurozone doomsday scenario
  • Venezuela vs. Ecuador (Chavismo vs. Chavismo Dolarizado)

    This article appeared in the July 2016 issue of Globe Asia. With the arrival of President Hugo Chávez in 1999, Venezuela embraced Chavismo, a form of Andean socialism. In 2013, Chávez met the Grim Reaper and Nicolás Maduro assumed Chávez’ mantle. Chavismo has not been confined to Venezuela, however. A form of it has been adopted by…

    Venezuela vs. Ecuador (Chavismo vs. Chavismo Dolarizado)
  • On the price of oil

    This article appeared in the June 2016 issue of Globe Asia. Since its high of almost $108/bbl in June of 2014, we have witnessed a stunning collapse in the price of oil. Indeed, in February 2016, a barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was trading at $26/bbl, a 76 percent plunge from the June 2014 highs.…

    On the price of oil
  • Monetary policies misunderstood

    Ever since the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) began to consider raising the federal funds rate, which it eventually did in December 2015, a cottage industry has grown up around taper talk. Will the Fed raise rates, or won’t it? Each time a consensus congeals around the answer to that question, all the world’s markets either…

    Monetary policies misunderstood
  • The Hong Kong dollar, rock solid

    The currency speculators are restless, again. Many, like George Soros and Kyle Bass, are reportedly taking aim at the Hong Kong dollar (HKD). HKD bear circles think China’s renmimbi (RMB) will lose value against the U.S. dollar (USD) as China’s economy slows down and capital flight from China continues. This, it is asserted, will put pressure…

    The Hong Kong dollar, rock solid
  • Economic headwinds: Big players, regime uncertainty and the Misery Index

    Before we delve into the economic prospects for 2016, let’s take a look at the economies in the Americas, Asia, Europe and the Middle East/Africa to see how they fared in the 2014-15 period. A clear metric for doing this is the misery index. For any country, a misery index score is simply the sum…

    Economic headwinds: Big players, regime uncertainty and the Misery Index