Research
May 2020 Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s Leading and Roughly Coincident Indicators indexes drop to 33, reflecting the economic devastation.
April 2020 Business Conditions Monthly
Despite the continued modestly positive reading for the Leading Indicator index, the U.S. economy likely contracted in March, ending the longest U.S. economic expansion on record.
Everyday Price Index Falls Amid COVID-19 Outbreak
AIER’s Everyday Price Index fell 0.7 percent in March on a drop in motor fuel prices.
Gasoline Offsets Food and Apparel in February EPI
AIER’s Everyday Price Index fell 0.2 percent in February as energy offset food and apparel.
March 2020 Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s Leading Indicators Index remains close to neutral; COVID-19 threatens the outlook. Extreme caution is warranted.
Everyday Prices Rise on Gains in Food and Communication Services
AIER’s Everyday Price Index rose 0.3 percent in January after being unchanged in December.
February 2020 Business Conditions Monthly
A decline for the AIER Leading Indicators index leaves the index at a neutral 50 for January
January 2020 Business Conditions Monthly
The AIER Leading Indicators index gave back the small gain from November, leaving the index just slightly above neutral for the fifth consecutive month.
Everyday Price Index Unchanged in December
AIER’s Everyday Price Index was unchanged in December but is up 2.1 percent for the year, the fastest pace since October 2018.
December Business Conditions Monthly
The AIER Leading Indicators index posted a small gain in November but remains close to neutral, supporting a cautious outlook.
