Research

  • AIER Defends Local Control in Key New Hampshire Tax and Education Cases

    AIER has submitted amicus curiae briefs to the New Hampshire Supreme Court in the combined cases Rand v. State and ConVal v. State. We took this step because our economic research is directly relevant to the issues raised in these cases. In Rand, the trial court ruled that New Hampshire’s property tax system was unconstitutional…

  • Harwood Economic Review: Dispelling Economic Myths

    Our latest issue explores why economic misconceptions persist and the vigilance required to counter them.

    Harwood Economic Review: Dispelling Economic Myths
  • Harwood Economic Review Bidenomics

    Harwood Economic Review Table of Contents Assessing Bidenomics: The Fatal Conceit of National Commercial Policy Nikolai G. Wenzel Uncle Sam, Addicted to Debt, Faces Future Military Bills Doug Bandow Biden’s ‘Strike Force’ Recalls Nixon’s Economic Plan Peter C. Earle Unrealized Gains Tax is an Economic Fallacy Vance Ginn EPA Phase Out of Gas-Powered Cars Has…

    Harwood Economic Review Bidenomics
  • Harwood Economic Review 90 Years of New Perils

    AIER’s dedication to classical liberalism drives us to address both long standing and unforeseen challenges to American values. This issue tackles emergent threats to freedom: wokism, growing Fed mandates, and ESG among others. As threats to liberty expand, our commitment to safeguarding fundamental American ideals does as well.

    Harwood Economic Review 90 Years of New Perils
  • 90 Years of New Deals

    The intellectual progeny of the New Deal continue to surface in American economic and political discourse: the Fair Deal, the New Frontier, the Great Society, the Freedom Agenda, Build Back Better, and others. But just as upon our 1933 inception we fiercely opposed their progenitor, ninety years later AIER remains every bit in the fight.

    90 Years of New Deals
  • In Retrogress

    Bad and disproven economic ideas have an uncanny longevity. While knowledge tends to be cumulative in most intellectual fields, the accumulation of knowledge in economics and finance seems to follow a more cyclical pattern. In this edition of the Harwood Economic Review we examine some recent examples of those, and discuss why ideas akin to…

    In Retrogress
  • AIER’s Everyday Price Index Falls for the Fifth Time in Six Months

    “AIER’s Everyday Price Index fell 1.3 in December, the fifth decline in the last six months. Emerging signs of slowing economic activity, an aggressive Fed tightening cycle, and fallout from the Russian invasion of Ukraine remain threats to the economic outlook.” ~ Robert Hughes

    AIER’s Everyday Price Index Falls for the Fifth Time in Six Months
  • The AIER Business Conditions Monthly (BCM) Model

    It’s been said that the only constant in life is change. That idea certainly holds true for economies. Research at AIER is based on sound economic theory and backed by empirical analysis. The same combination of theory and empirical study is the foundation of our Business-Cycle Conditions model. In simple terms, our model is a…

  • What is the Everyday Price Index?

    The purpose of the AIER’s Everyday Price Index (EPI) is to measure changes in the prices of goods and services that are important to people’s everyday lives. The index reflects the price uncertainty (i.e. unexpected and unavoidable price changes) that people face with purchases they cannot easily adjust from one month to the next. The…

  • AIER Leading Indicators Index Posts Sixth Consecutive Month Below Neutral

    “AIER’s Leading Indicators Index came in at 29 in November, the sixth consecutive month below the neutral 50 threshold. The low readings are consistent with economic weakness and significantly elevated risks for the outlook.” ~ Robert Hughes

    AIER Leading Indicators Index Posts Sixth Consecutive Month Below Neutral
  • AIER’s Everyday Price Index Falls for the Fourth Time in Five Months

    “AIER’s Everyday Price Index fell 0.2 in November, the fourth decline in the last five months. An aggressive Fed tightening cycle, consumer pessimism, and fallout from the Russian invasion of Ukraine remain threats to the economic outlook.” ~ Robert Hughes

    AIER’s Everyday Price Index Falls for the Fourth Time in Five Months
  • AIER Leading Indicators Index Remains Well Below Neutral

    The AIER Leading Indicators Index remained well below neutral in the latest month, signaling broadening economic weakness and sharply elevated levels of risk for the outlook. Caution is warranted.

    AIER Leading Indicators Index Remains Well Below Neutral