Research
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Gas and Apparel Pull Everyday Prices Down in November
AIER’s Everyday Price Index fell 0.1 percent in November after posting a 0.4 percent increase in October. Overall, net changes in the Everyday Price Index remain modest.
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November Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s Leading Indicators index held steady in October, remaining slightly above neutral. Slow growth continues as economy remains vulnerable.
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Wide-spread Increases Boost Everyday Price Index in October
AIER’s Everyday Price Index rose 0.4 percent in October, reversing back-to-back declines. Increases were widespread for the month. However, over the past 12 months, the index is up just 0.2 percent and over the past five years, the annualized gain is just 0.5 percent. The Everyday Price Index measures price changes people see in everyday…
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October Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s Leading Indicators index fell in September but remains slightly above neutral. Risks to the economy are rising.
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Everyday Price Index Is Little Changed in September; Apparel Prices Rise
AIER’s Everyday Price Index fell 0.1 percent in September, the third decline in the past four months.
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AIER Everyday Price Index Falls in August, Down for the Year
AIER’s Everyday Price Index fell 0.5 percent in August, the second decline in the past three months. Over the past 12 months, the EPI is down 0.1 percent, the first 12-month decline since February and down sharply from the 3.7 percent increase for the 12 months through June 2018. The more widely known price…
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September Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s leading indicators index rose in August, moving slightly above neutral; consumers remain key.
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August Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s leading indicators fell back below neutral in July; second-quarter GDP posted a modest gain, but details look solid. AIER’s Business Cycle Conditions Leading Indicators index pulled back slightly in July, dropping to 46 following neutral 50 readings in May and June. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index rose to 75 while the Lagging Indicators index…
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Restaurant Prices and Gasoline Push the AIER Everyday Price Index Higher in July
AIER’s Everyday Price Index rose 0.2 percent in July, partially reversing a 0.4 percent decline in June. The more widely known price gauge, the Consumer Price Index, also rose 0.2 percent in July. The EPI measures price changes people see in everyday purchases such as groceries, restaurant meals, gasoline, and utilities. The EPI is not…
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July Business Conditions Monthly
AIER’s Leading Indicators index was unchanged in June, holding at the neutral reading of 50. The Lagging Indicators index was also unchanged in the latest month, repeating the May result of 42. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index fell for a second straight month, to 58 (see chart). The back-to-back neutral 50 readings for the Leading…
