Sound Money Project
The Sound Money Project was founded in January 2009 to conduct research and promote awareness about monetary stability and financial privacy. The project is comprised of leading academics and practitioners in money, banking, and macroeconomics. It offers regular commentary and in-depth analysis on monetary policy, alternative monetary systems, financial markets regulation, cryptocurrencies, and the history of monetary and macroeconomic thought.
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Government Debt and Inflation: Reality Intrudes
“Sooner or later, absent substantially lowering government spending or raising taxes, interest payments will overwhelm the government’s budget. The situation might even be termed a sovereign debt crisis.” ~ Gerald P. Dwyer
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FOMC Projects Higher Inflation
“Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s November statement killed the idea that inflation would be transitory. The most recent projections from the FOMC show how deeply that idea has been buried.” ~ William J. Luther & Morgan Timmann
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How to Think about Inflation
“If we want to understand inflation, we need a framework to organize our thoughts. Economies are fiendishly complex; without a model that helps us focus on the relevant details, we’re lost in the woods.” ~ Alexander William Salter
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Do Greedy Countries Have Higher Inflation?
“Blaming big corporations for inflation no doubt serves the political interests of Sens. Warren and Sanders. But it is inconsistent with the available data. That is not surprising: It is inconsistent with standard monetary economics as well.” ~ Nicolás Cachanosky
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Stages of Quantitative Tightening
“There are several steps to go before the Federal Reserve starts selling assets to reduce the size of its balance sheet. That type of active tightening will probably not begin for a while.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan
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How Will Russia Respond to Financial Sanctions?
“The sanctions are intended to increase the cost of war for the Russian government. Russia currently finds itself outside of the global financial system. Over time, however, the burden of financial sanctions will weaken.” ~ James L. Caton
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Inflation Rips Ahead of March FOMC Meeting
“The Fed should acknowledge that the inflation problem is much worse than it thought when it sets its course of action and adjust course accordingly. More likely, it will stay the course—and inflation will continue to outpace its projections.” ~ William J. Luther
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What Can the US Learn from Argentina’s Inflation?
“We can learn by looking at countries that have employed these strategies before. Inflation in the U.S. has been modest by Argentine standards. To keep it that way, the US must avoid repeating Argentina’s mistakes.” ~ Nicolás Cachanosky
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Inflation Exceeds Fed’s Projection
“I chalk it up to wishful thinking. Fed officials were not yet willing to tighten monetary policy. They hoped inflation would get better on its own. It didn’t, and their projections underestimated inflation as a result.” ~ William J. Luther
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Did Ben Bernanke Implement QE before the 2008 Financial Crisis?
“The Bernanke Fed was practicing QE much earlier than is widely thought. This early QE experiment, likely intended to stabilize short-term inflation expectations, transformed monetary policy prior to the crisis.” ~ James L. Caton
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Fiscal Policy and Inflation
“When it comes to fiscal policy, we’re off the edge of the map. The typical stories told by unreconstructed Keynesians are clearly wrong. But that doesn’t mean we never need to worry about fiscal inflation.” ~ Alexander W. Salter
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Is This What Monetary Tightening Looks Like?
“When will the Federal Reserve begin to unwind its balance sheet this time? If the meeting minutes indicate the trajectory of policy, reductions will begin within the next two years.” ~ James L. Caton
