Sound Money Project

  • Permanent or Transitory Inflation: An Analytical Framework

    “Inflation is not a high price level; it is a persistent increase in the price level. Whether inflation persists depends on what Fed officials do next.” ~ Nicolás Cachanosky

    Permanent or Transitory Inflation: An Analytical Framework
  • How Does the Federal Reserve Evaluate Policy?

    “If inflation does not relent in approaching months, this call for a modest tightening will likely develop support from other ranking members of the Fed. I’m willing to bet that support for tightening will be strongly correlated with the value of the loss function presented here.” ~ James L. Caton

    How Does the Federal Reserve Evaluate Policy?
  • The Great Inflation Debate Is Missing Why Inflation Matters

    “The public debate over inflation is a great opportunity to focus on what really matters: subjecting monetary policymakers to the rule of law. Unfortunately, we’re currently squandering that opportunity to repeat pop-macroeconomic fallacies.” ~ Alexander W. Salter

    The Great Inflation Debate Is Missing Why Inflation Matters
  • Decentralized Stablecoins: The Real Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash Systems

    “Bitcoin still has a role to play as a globally popular speculative token. It’s time for the decentralized stablecoins to take their place as the real peer-to-peer electronic cash systems.” ~ J.P. Koning

    Decentralized Stablecoins: The Real Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash Systems
  • The End of Bretton Woods, Jacques Rueff, and the “Monetary Sin of the West”

    “As its contemporary critics understood, Bretton Woods was doomed to fail if it could not be fundamentally reformed. One of its chief contemporary critics was the French economist, Jacques Rueff.” ~ Lawrence H. White

    The End of Bretton Woods, Jacques Rueff, and the “Monetary Sin of the West”
  • How High Will Inflation Be in 2021?

    “Inflation will be noticeably higher in 2021 than it has been in some time. An important question is whether it will be followed by the widely predicted lower inflation or by higher inflation in subsequent years.” ~ Gerald P. Dwyer

    How High Will Inflation Be in 2021?
  • How Tether Can Improve Its Pie Chart

    “Tether will be publishing its next pie chart sometime in the middle of August. Given its flagging issuance, Tether has every reason to do a better job than before. The whole cryptocurrency world will be watching.” ~ J.P. Koning

    How Tether Can Improve Its Pie Chart
  • Is Inflation Really a Problem?

    “Inflation has real costs when it’s unpredictable. We want monetary institutions to keep generalized price increases on a steady, anticipable path. Since central banks often go out of their way not to be understood, we might have a valid complaint against them after all.” ~ Alexander W. Salter

    Is Inflation Really a Problem?
  • Is Inflation Merely Catching Up?

    “The price level today is greater than what it was expected to be in the absence of a pandemic and what the Fed implicitly said it would be given its two-percent inflation target. The price level has more than caught up with expectations. The question, now, is whether it will continue to grow so rapidly,…

    Is Inflation Merely Catching Up?
  • Will Cash Soon Be Obsolete?

    “Perhaps these trends will reverse. But it seems more likely that the reports of the forthcoming death of cash have been greatly exaggerated––that is, so long as the government doesn’t kill it.” ~ William J. Luther

    Will Cash Soon Be Obsolete?
  • What Do Wildcat Banks Tell Us About Stablecoins?

    “The experience in Michigan when it was a frontier state in the same year that the telegraph was invented is not particularly pertinent for discerning the likely success of private currency with the communications technology available today. ‘Wildcat’ is a phrase that has no relevance for stablecoins.” ~ Gerald P Dwyer

    What Do Wildcat Banks Tell Us About Stablecoins?
  • Why is Monetary Policy Focusing on the Overnight Lending Market?

    “Borrowing in the overnight lending market allows for the Federal Reserve to access a larger pool of funds from a diversity of financial institutions. As a result, the Fed can borrow these funds at lower rates and avoid attracting negative attention that would be generated by an increase in the interest rate target and the…

    Why is Monetary Policy Focusing on the Overnight Lending Market?