Inflation Reports

Inflation Outlook Remains Stable

– November 3, 2014

In September, the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.09 percent after falling 0.20 percent in August. Rising domestic demand in August helped push up the Consumer Price Index Core by 0.14 percent in September, compared to last months’ 0.01 percent increase. However, industrial production has caught up and consumer demand has cooled, suggesting a moderating inflationary climate in coming months. Slowing global economic growth and falling oil prices provide further support for that outlook.

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Inflation Reports

Oil Prices Neutralize Inflation

– September 30, 2014

Falling prices caused by an oil surplus are offsetting inflation pressures created by an overall increase in consumer demand and a decline in production.

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Inflation Reports

Slight Price Pressures Visible

– September 3, 2014

As the economy continues its recovery, inflation plods along at a low, positive rate. July saw the broad CPI increase just under 0.1 percent. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, also saw modest monthly growth of 0.1 percent. However, labor market tightening and real disposable income growth have increased the upward pressure on inflation and inflation expectations. 

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Inflation Reports

Use Forecasts for Trends Only

– July 30, 2014

Inflation forecasts have tended to capture the general direction and perform best in periods of economic stability.Inflation forecasts have tended to capture the general direction and perform best in periods of economic stability.

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Inflation Reports

Spending Habits Shape Inflation

– June 25, 2014

The price changes felt by individuals vary depending on lifestyle.

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Inflation Reports

Strong Dollar Dampens Inflation

– May 23, 2014

A strong dollar helps hold down the prices of imported consumer goods, partially offsetting core consumer services inflation.

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Inflation Reports

Can The Fed Tame Inflation?

– April 23, 2014

The Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing policy ignited inflationary fears, but inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index has remained low for several years. The QE program began in late 2008 as an attempt to stimulate the economy out of recession. Three rounds of quantitative easing have totaled $3.5 trillion.

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Inflation Reports

Rents Augur Inflation

– March 31, 2014

Plummeting vacancies in the rental market and increased shelter costs point to an eventual upturn in the general price level. For now, inflation remains persistently low.

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Inflation Reports

Marginal Gains

– February 26, 2014

Corporate profits as a percentage of GDP are at an all-time high. Commodities prices have decreased over the last two years, while price inflation remains mostly flat.

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Inflation Reports

When Money Isn’t Money

– January 27, 2014

AIER coins the term moneyness.

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