Monetary Policy
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On Fed Reforms, Ramaswamy Swings and Misses
“Ramaswamy’s arguments reveal he is unfamiliar with the ins and outs of monetary policy. His suggestions are poorly motivated and won’t result in a stronger economy. He’ll need to do better if he wants to rein in the Fed.” ~ Alexander William Salter
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Yes, the Fed Is a Failure
“DeSantis is right to call out the Fed. And honesty compels one to acknowledge the Fed’s failures, even if those failures are pointed out by politicians of whom one disapproves. Anything less subjects responsible policy analysis to rank partisanship.” ~ Alexander William Salter
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The Fed Is Bankrupt
“The most recent data show that the Fed owes the Treasury over $41 billion, which exceeds its total capital. The Fed, by common standards, is indeed insolvent.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan
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Interest Rates, the Money Supply, and Say’s Law
“Say’s Law absolutely helps us understand booms and busts on the demand side, but because of its emphasis on money, not interest rates.” ~ Alexander William Salter
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Have We Crested the Inflation Wave?
“My view is the Fed should pause its rate hikes in the short-run. Disintermediation might be the cause of recent money-supply trends. In the long-run, the Fed should resume forward guidance, but not on interest rates.” ~ Alexander William Salter
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Silicon Valley Bank: Mismanagement Is Not an Excuse for Inefficient Regulation
“The mismanagement was endogenous to the regulatory regime. Rather than promoting financial stability, regulators have undermined it. Doubling down on a failed strategy will not make things better.” ~ Nicolás Cachanosky
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Inflation Slowed in February, But Remained High
“Recent experience should prompt calls for the Fed to adopt a symmetric average inflation target when it reevaluates its mandate in 2024 and 2025.” ~ William J. Luther
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Politics, Not Markets, Makes Banking Unstable
“Banking reform should rank high on our list of policy priorities, but moving away from fractional reserves shouldn’t be a part of the conversation.” ~ Alexander William Salter
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Lessons from the Phillips Curve
“The exploration of the Phillips Curve has taken many different paths and yet somehow ended up in the same place. The world could have been spared much of this meandering with a more firm grounding in what theory does and does not tell us.” ~ Joshua R. Hendrickson
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Monetary Policy and that Old-Time Fiscal Religion
“Nominal income targeting can potentially restore the old-time fiscal religion. Like the classical gold standard, this approach stabilizes total spending in the economy, rendering counter-cyclical fiscal policy unnecessary and ineffective.” ~ Bryan P. Cutsinger & Louis Rouanet
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Money and Inflation Are Still Related
“M2 in 2020 and 2021 increased by the largest percentages in the last 60 years. To the surprise of the Federal Reserve (although not everyone), inflation resulted.” ~ John Devereux & Gerald P. Dwyer
