• Problems of Federal Reserve Policy—and How to Solve Them

    “To stabilize the economy, informed citizens must study the faults of discretionary central banking and call for reforms to protect against them. ‘Money and the Rule of Law’ accomplishes the first goal. The second is up to us.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan

    Problems of Federal Reserve Policy—and How to Solve Them
  • Is the Fed Paying Banks Not to Lend?

    “The evidence shows that banks treated excess reserves as a profitable alternative to loans. High rates of IOER caused them to increase reserve holdings and decrease their loan allocations. The Fed was indeed paying banks not to lend.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan

    Is the Fed Paying Banks Not to Lend?
  • Why Do Inflation Expectations Matter?

    “Powell is telegraphing to the market that he hears their concerns about inflation. We will have to wait through the next several months to learn whether or not investors will be convinced.” ~ James L. Caton

    Why Do Inflation Expectations Matter?
  • There Is No Avoiding the Long Run: A Low Interest Rate Environment Is a Low Growth Environment

    “We’ve trod down the post-Bernanke path long enough to learn that the cost of following a policy of resource allocation by the Federal Reserve instead of allowing a modestly higher rate of inflation is lower growth of real income.” ~ James L. Caton

    There Is No Avoiding the Long Run: A Low Interest Rate Environment Is a Low Growth Environment
  • Monetary Control: Central Banks Today

    “The Fed’s operating framework systematically tends towards the abuse of life, liberty, and property. If we want to fix this, we need to take a much closer look at the relationship between money and freedom. Only if we understand this relationship, philosophically, economically, and historically, will we be in a position to fix what’s gone…

    Monetary Control: Central Banks Today
  • Assessing Potential for Higher Inflation

    “Monetary policy is intentionally supporting fiscal policy and supporting levels of indebtedness from the Federal government that are unprecedented. The result has been an explosion of M2 that increases the risk of inflation. There is a fair chance that policymakers will succeed. But, for the possibility of success, they risk a monetary-fiscal crisis.” ~ James…

    Assessing Potential for Higher Inflation
  • The Rise of Bitcoin

    “The blockchain technology at bitcoin’s core provides a new and fundamentally different way to process payments. It relies on neither decentralized nor centralized clearing. Instead, it processes transactions over a distributed network. And, by solving the double spending problem without recourse to a trusted third party, it has the potential to offer a degree of…

    The Rise of Bitcoin
  • Thomas L. Hogan

    Thomas L. Hogan, Ph.D., is an Associate Senior Research Fellow at AIER. He was formerly the chief economist for the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs. He […]

    Thomas L. Hogan

On the origins of cryptocurrencies

WJ Luther, N Sridhar. A Modern Guide to Austrian Economics, 200-215, 2022

Seigniorage payments and the Federal Reserve’s new operating regime

BP Cutsinger, WJ Luther. Economics Letters 220, 110880, 2022

Central bank independence and the Federal Reserve’s new operating regime

JL Jordan, WJ Luther. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 84, 510-515, 2022

The Value of Bitcoin in the Year 2141 (and beyond!)

JR Hendrickson, WJ Luther. The Economics of Blockchain and Cryptocurrency, 51-68, 2022

Cash, crime, and cryptocurrencies

JR Hendrickson, WJ Luther. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 85, 200-207, 2022

Book Review: Money and the Rule of Law: Generality and Predictability in Monetary Institutions

PC Earle. Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics 24 (4), 2022

General Institutional Considerations of Blockchain and Emerging Applications

PC Earle, DM Waugh. The Emerald Handbook on Cryptoassets: Investment Opportunities and …, 2023

Cryptocurrencies, Blockchain, and Public Choice

RM Yonk, D Waugh. Cryptocurrency Concepts, Technology, and Applications, 2023

Money, Power, and the People: The American Struggle to Make Banking Democratic by Christopher W. Shaw

RE Wright. Journal of Interdisciplinary History 52 (4), 624-626, 2022

War, money & economy: Inflation and production in the Fed and pre-Fed periods

TL Hogan, DJ Smith. The Review of Austrian Economics, 1-23, 2022

Comment on Docket No. OP-1793,’Principles for Climate-Related Financial Risk Management for Large Financial Institutions’

TL Hogan. OP-1793,’Principles for Climate-Related Financial Risk Management for Large …, 2023