Thomas L. Hogan
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Stages of Quantitative Tightening
“There are several steps to go before the Federal Reserve starts selling assets to reduce the size of its balance sheet. That type of active tightening will probably not begin for a while.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan
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What Did the Fed Know in the Great Recession?
“The Fed’s poor forecasting record should make us skeptical of its ability to effectively manage the money supply in times of economic turmoil. It would be prudent to consider structural reforms that might improve FOMC’s decision-making process.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan
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Does Monetary Policy Matter?
“The Fed’s actual performance has not been ideal. Its monetary policy mistakes have had dire consequences for ordinary Americans and the US economy. Those mistakes make it clear that monetary policy matters.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan
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Financial Regulators Ignore the Costs of Regulation
“According to the main evidence cited by the bank regulators themselves, the NSFR will create a net cost to the U.S. financial system, not a net benefit.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan
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Despite Fed Asset Purchases, Lending Remains Depressed
“The Fed’s recent asset purchases appear to have significantly expanded the money supply. But given the small changes in bank lending, it is not clear what their overall effects will be on inflation and the economy.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan
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How the Fed Can Improve Financial Stability and Reduce Inequality
“There is clear evidence that bank deregulation can improve financial stability while also shrinking inequality. By lowering the costs of doing business, strong but simple regulations improve job opportunities for low-skilled and minority workers.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan & Amelia Janaskie
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Not Smart Financial Regulation
“U.S. financial regulators approved the NSFR despite the fact that their own evidence showed the costs of the rule exceed its benefits. That’s Not Smart Financial Regulation.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan
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Is Inflation Below the Fed’s Target? Yes and No.
“Adjusting for oil and auto prices puts the rate of inflation below the Fed’s 2 percent average target rate. Still, high rates of NGDP growth and mounting bank reserves should cause Fed officials to be leery of high inflation going forward.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan
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Did the Fed Just Raise Interest Rates?
“In the Fed’s current floor system, the rate of IOR is the key tool of monetary policy. If the Fed raised the rate of IOR, then it raised interest rates.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan
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Problems of Federal Reserve Policy—and How to Solve Them
“To stabilize the economy, informed citizens must study the faults of discretionary central banking and call for reforms to protect against them. ‘Money and the Rule of Law’ accomplishes the first goal. The second is up to us.” ~ Thomas L. Hogan
