Business Conditions

In December 2024, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly indicators continued to show strength in leading and current economic activity, though the lagging components pointed to signs of underlying weakness. The […]

In November 2024, all three AIER Business Conditions Monthly indicators signaled a parallel shift in economic conditions. The Leading Indicator rose sharply to 79 from 58 in October, moving decisively […]

In October 2024, two of the AIER Business Conditions Monthly indicators fell while one remained at neutral levels. The Leading Indicator fell to 58 from 71, returning to the more […]

In September 2024, the AIER Business Conditions Leading Indicator remained at its expansionary August level of 71. The Roughly Coincident Indicator fell back to 58 (its July value) after a […]

In August 2024, two of the AIER Business Conditions indicators rose strongly and one fell steeply. The Leading Indicator rose from 58 to 71 while the Roughly Coincident Indicator leapt […]

A folded $100 bill on a sponge, demonstrating the concept of a soft landing. In July 2024, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly indicators were mixed. The Leading Indicator edged up […]

In June 2024, all three of the AIER Business Conditions indicators maintained their levels from the previous month. The Leading Indicator stood at a mildly expansionary level of 54, while […]

In May 2024, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly Leading Indicator sank to a mildly expansionary level of 54, its lowest value since October 2023. The Roughly Coincident Indicator rose to […]