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Join the American Institute for Economic Research at our inaugural Monetary Conference.
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“Financial privacy is very important for a free society. What we do reveals much more about who we are than what we say.” ~William J. Luther
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“Once ‘locked in,’ a comparatively low mortgage rate functions as an emotional and economic anchor.” ~Laura Williams
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“More cuts are projected for 2025, but not enough to return the stance of monetary policy to neutral.” ~William J. Luther
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“A 50 basis point cut in its federal funds rate target on Wednesday marks a reversal at the Fed.” ~William J. Luther
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“The Fed should ignore the political noise and follow the data. Central bankers failed to curb inflation, but that doesn’t mean they should deliberately make the opposite mistake now.” ~Alexander W. Salter
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“The federal funds rate target range is likely to be at least a full percentage point lower by the end of the year. That would significantly reduce the distance the Fed needs to travel in order to return monetary policy to neutral.” ~William J. Luther
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“In the name of preventing a second Great Depression, then-Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke opened a Pandora’s Box of monetary ills in 2008. And like the Greek myth, there may be no way of putting these ills back in the box.” ~Paul Mueller
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“Given that the reserve of gold can be viewed only as the federal government holding it for investment purposes, there is no particular reason to focus only on gold and not include other assets, including cryptoassets such as bitcoin.” ~Gerald P. Dwyer
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“Interest payments now suck up more of the federal budget, leaving less to spend on important political priorities. Since Republicans and Democrats disagree about what those priorities are, the resulting fiscal strain amplifies partisan divisions.” ~Alexander W. Salter
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“Labor market developments cannot explain the decline in nominal spending growth. Tighter monetary policy can… Given the lags of monetary policy, the Fed may have already undershot its target.” ~William J. Luther
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“Despite the progress made on inflation over the last three months, and the risk of overtightening noted by Waller and Powell, the FOMC is unlikely to cut its federal funds rate target next week.” ~William J. Luther