Monetary Policy
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Nuclear Power: A Free Market Approach
Nuclear energy is a source of clean, dependable power. It is the only carbon-free energy source that can reliably deliver power day and night on a large scale. But its potential will remain strangled by political constraints until we recognize that the path to a sustainable, competitive, and safe nuclear future runs straight through the…
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How Does the Federal Reserve Set Interest Rates?
Introduction People in financial markets and in the media regularly track Federal Reserve announcements and forecast what the Fed’s interest rate target will be in the future. But when people […]
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Rethinking the Fed’s Framework: Lessons from the Post-Pandemic Inflation
The paper evaluates alternative frameworks and argues that the Fed should adopt either a nominal spending target or a symmetrical average inflation target.
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How Currency Shapes Global Trade: Exchange Rates, Investment, and Stability
Free trade and free markets promote sound money, as countries compete for business and investment.
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Milei’s New Monetary Regime for Argentina
“Despite its controversial nature, full dollarization remains the monetary regime with the most potential for long-term stability in Argentina. It offers a credible pathway to restore confidence and put the country back on a sustainable economic trajectory.” ~Nicolás Cachanosky
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Mortgage Rates Are Likely To Decline In the Near Future
“Not that long ago, the real rate on Treasury bills was negative. The real rate on Treasury securities is temporarily high due to the Federal Reserve’s policy goal of lowering the inflation rate.” ~Gerald P. Dwyer
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Prices Decline in May, Monetary Policy Tightens
“Prices today are 8.9 percentage points higher than they would have been had the Fed hit its 2-percent inflation target since January 2020.”
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There’s No Good Reason to Raise the Inflation Target
“Why not give the central bank a wider berth, if it helps to stabilize the economy? Because it doesn’t actually help. Interest rates are a distraction.” ~Alexander W. Salter
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FOMC Holds Rates, Revises Forward Guidance
“Just as the FOMC was slow to adjust policy when inflation surged in late 2021, it will be slow to adjust policy as inflation returns to and falls below its target in 2024.” ~William J Luther
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Prices Stable in May: Time to Cut Rates?
“M2, the most commonly cited measure of the money supply, is up 0.53 percent from a year ago. Since real income and population are growing faster than this, current M2 growth also suggests money is tight. But this is speculative.” ~Alexander W. Salter
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Chairman Powell and The Fed’s Limits
“Congress should applaud Chairman Powell’s candor on uncertainty and strongly support his principle of operating the Fed within the limits of its mandate.” ~Alex J. Pollock
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Bank Term Funding Program Discounts the Discount Window
“The Fed says it created BTFP to ‘support American businesses and households.’ But those businesses and households will ultimately be on the hook if the Fed’s risk-taking turns out to be too much.” ~ Nicolás Cachanosky
