Business Conditions
Business Conditions Monthly June 2024
In June 2024, all three of the AIER Business Conditions indicators maintained their levels from the previous month. The Leading Indicator stood at a mildly expansionary level of 54, while […]
Business Conditions Monthly May 2024
In May 2024, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly Leading Indicator sank to a mildly expansionary level of 54, its lowest value since October 2023. The Roughly Coincident Indicator rose to […]
Business Conditions Monthly April 2024
“The road ahead remains uncertain, though, with potential outcomes ranging from a slow, steady economic rebalancing to sluggishness or even a recession.” ~Peter C. Earle
Sense and Nonsense on Petrodollars
Last week several reports suggested the termination of a US-Saudi petrodollar agreement, and speculated a Saudi Arabian move to sell oil on world markets in various currencies, including the Chinese […]
Business Conditions Monthly March 2024
In March 2023, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly Leading Indicator fell to its lowest level in five months, and the Lagging Indicator declined for a third consecutive month. The Roughly […]
Business Conditions Monthly February 2024
In February 2023, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly demonstrated divergent signals yet again. The Leading Indicator rose from 67 to 75 with the Roughly Coincident Indicator spending a fourth month […]
Business Conditions Monthly January 2024
In January 2023, two of the AIER Business Conditions Monthly returned to the expansionary levels which characterized the last six to eight months. The Leading Indicator returned to its November […]
AIER’s Everyday Price Index Spikes 0.73 Percent
In February 2024, the AIER Everyday Price Index (EPI) rose 0.73 percent to 286.9. This rise was the largest percentage increase in the index since August 2023 and the eighth […]
Business Conditions Monthly December 2023
In December 2023, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly indices again emphasized the unpredictable nature of economic data in the post-COVID-19 period. The Leading Indicator fell slightly from November 2023’s 67 […]
Business Conditions Monthly December 2023
“Inflation expectations have edged higher, raising concerns about the erosion of purchasing power and living standards. In the lead-up to the November presidential elections, policymakers and market participants will closely monitor future economic data releases to gauge the trajectory of inflation and its implications for the broader economy.” ~Peter C. Earle
