Peter C. Earle
AIER’s Everyday Price Index Climbs Slightly in March 2025
The Everyday Price Index (EPI) rose 0.18 percent in March 2025, bringing the index to 292.9. The March increase brings the number of consecutive increases in the AIER inflation measure […]
Unpacking the Assumptions Behind the Mar-a-Lago Accord
The high degree of focus on tariffs under the new Trump administration has led to a flurry of new analyses attempting to determine their economic effects. One of the most […]
The Tariff Crash of 2025: The Price of Economic Amnesia
Over the last two days of the past week, US equity markets crashed as a result of the rollout of a tariff program that was not only non-reciprocal but also […]
Contra Bessent, Affordability Contributes to American Greatness
In a recent defense of proposed tariffs, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent declared that “access to cheap goods is not the essence of the American dream.” The remark, presumably aimed […]
The Dollar Milkshake Theory, Explained
The Dollar Milkshake Theory, a growing topic of debate on YouTube, Reddit, and other social platforms, claims to offer a framework for explaining the US dollar’s strength in an era […]
The Economics of the Minimum Wage: Myths, Facts, and Consequences
This explainer offers a comprehensive analysis of the minimum wage, exploring its history, mechanics, intended goals, and real-world economic impact.
A Better Way to Bring Large-Scale Manufacturing Back to the United States
An initial step that has been bandied about of late has been engineering a dollar retrenchment. Even with a weaker dollar, profound challenges will be found in the rebuilding of […]
Five Years Post-COVID: 10 Economic Indicators That Haven’t Recovered
As we mark five years since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, many headlines trumpet the resilience of the US economy: unemployment is low, GDP has returned to growth, and […]
Will Undermining the Dollar Bring an American Industrial Renaissance?
For decades, America’s manufacturing sector has seemingly eroded, with jobs and production shifting overseas in search of lower costs and fewer regulatory constraints. While many companies have relocated abroad, the […]
Business Conditions Monthly January 2025
In January 2025, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly indicators showed moderate economic momentum, with leading indicators moderating, coincident measures remaining solid, and lagging indicators rebounding sharply. The Leading Indicator declined […]
